American Foundation for Equal Rights

Marriage News Blog

Battleground State Profile: Minnesota

In a four-part series, we look at the history of efforts in each state with a marriage ballot measure, current polling and how you can get involved.

Minnesota already has a law on the books that prevents gay and lesbian couples from getting married. The proposed new measure would add a second ban that would be harder to undo.

It’s likely going to be a contentious fight. Observers estimate that the total campaign spending could surpass $10 million, making the campaign one of the most expensive in the state’s history.  Minnesotans United for All Families has so far raised $4.6 million.

Meanwhile, the National Organization for Marriage is working vigorously to avoid disclosing donors.

Current Polling

It’s hard to predict what’s going to happen. Last year, Nate Silver called Minnesota a “tossup.” In November of 2011, 48% favored the amendment. That was holding steady in January of 2012, with 48% favoring and 44% opposed. By in February, support dropped to 47%; and in May, 52% of Minnesotans agreed with President Obama that marriage should be available to same-sex couples.

As of last month, support for the amendment was down to 43%, with opposition at 49%.

What You Can Do

The Minnesota effort is being led by Minnesotans United for All Families.